Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2.407525e-05 0.000029 0.000034 0.000040 0.000047 0.000054 0.000062
2025-06-08 1.790796e-05 0.000024 0.000031 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000076
2025-06-15 1.394423e-05 0.000020 0.000029 0.000039 0.000052 0.000068 0.000087
2025-06-22 1.087899e-05 0.000018 0.000026 0.000038 0.000054 0.000072 0.000097
2025-06-29 8.324042e-06 0.000015 0.000024 0.000036 0.000053 0.000075 0.000103
2025-07-06 6.215959e-06 0.000012 0.000021 0.000034 0.000052 0.000076 0.000108
2025-07-13 4.896369e-06 0.000011 0.000019 0.000033 0.000053 0.000079 0.000115
2025-07-20 4.008100e-06 0.000009 0.000018 0.000033 0.000054 0.000083 0.000123
2025-07-27 3.348902e-06 0.000009 0.000018 0.000033 0.000056 0.000088 0.000132
2025-08-03 3.146259e-06 0.000009 0.000018 0.000035 0.000061 0.000096 0.000147
2025-08-10 2.550737e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000035 0.000061 0.000099 0.000155
2025-08-17 1.885242e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000033 0.000060 0.000099 0.000158
2025-08-24 1.364220e-06 0.000006 0.000015 0.000032 0.000060 0.000102 0.000165
2025-08-31 1.021598e-06 0.000005 0.000014 0.000031 0.000061 0.000107 0.000175
2025-09-07 7.542695e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000031 0.000063 0.000111 0.000185
2025-09-14 5.203814e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000030 0.000063 0.000114 0.000193
2025-09-21 3.230681e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000029 0.000062 0.000115 0.000199
2025-09-28 1.765727e-07 0.000002 0.000009 0.000027 0.000060 0.000114 0.000202
2025-10-05 1.038436e-07 0.000002 0.000009 0.000026 0.000060 0.000117 0.000209
2025-10-12 6.432961e-08 0.000002 0.000008 0.000026 0.000061 0.000121 0.000218
2025-10-19 4.022030e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000026 0.000063 0.000125 0.000229
2025-10-26 3.615913e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000028 0.000068 0.000136 0.000249
2025-11-02 1.843959e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000027 0.000068 0.000139 0.000257